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GeraSure / US Road Fatality Risk

US Road Fatality Risk by State

Gera US Road Fatality Index (GUSRFI/10) for all 50 states + DC. Highest: Mississippi (9.9/10). US average: 12.695/100k. NHTSA FARS 2021-2023 · Risk-context only.

Data: FARS 2021-2023 / Census PEP 2023 / FHWA VM-2 2023· NHTSA FARS + Census PEP + FHWA VM-2 · US public domain

Which US states have the highest road fatality rate?

Mississippi has the highest Gera US Road Fatality Index (GUSRFI 9.9/10) among all 50 states and DC, with a 3-year average of 24.943 road fatalities per 100,000 population (2021-2023 NHTSA FARS). The US average is 12.695 per 100k. Massachusetts has the lowest rate at 5.673/100k (GUSRFI 0/10).

Source:NHTSA Fatality Analysis Reporting System (FARS) — annual national CSV ZIPs 2021-2023·as of FARS 2021-2023 / Census PEP 2023 / FHWA VM-2 2023updated annually (last: )
Gera US Road Fatality Index9.9 / 10Highest state: Mississippi (FARS 2021-2023 / Census PEP 2023 / FHWA VM-2 2023). US average: 12.695/100k.How this index is calculated

Top 10 highest GUSRFI states (FARS 2021-2023 / Census PEP 2023 / FHWA VM-2 2023)

Top 10 US states by Gera US Road Fatality Index (NHTSA FARS 2021-2023 + Census PEP + FHWA VM-2)
StateGUSRFIBandPer 100k popPer 100M VMT
1. Mississippi9.9/10Very High24.943/100k1.793/100M VMT
2. South Carolina8.8/10Very High21.066/100k1.831/100M VMT
3. New Mexico8.4/10Very High21.892/100k1.644/100M VMT
4. Arkansas8.1/10Very High21.055/100k1.641/100M VMT
5. Louisiana7.6/10High19.494/100k1.613/100M VMT
6. Montana7.6/10High19.69/100k1.611/100M VMT
7. Wyoming7.6/10High22.232/100k1.359/100M VMT
8. Tennessee7.2/10High18.747/100k1.584/100M VMT
9. Arizona7.1/10High17.309/100k1.691/100M VMT
10. Oklahoma7.1/10High18.094/100k1.59/100M VMT

GUSRFI = 0.6 × norm(per_100k) + 0.4 × norm(per_VMT) × 10. 3yr avg 2021-2023. US public domain data.

All 51 states — browse by GUSRFI

Mississippi

24.943/100k · Very High

9.9/10

South Carolina

21.066/100k · Very High

8.8/10

New Mexico

21.892/100k · Very High

8.4/10

Arkansas

21.055/100k · Very High

8.1/10

Louisiana

19.494/100k · High

7.6/10

Montana

19.69/100k · High

7.6/10

Wyoming

22.232/100k · High

7.6/10

Tennessee

18.747/100k · High

7.2/10

Arizona

17.309/100k · High

7.1/10

Oklahoma

18.094/100k · High

7.1/10

Kentucky

17.453/100k · High

6.9/10

Alabama

19.333/100k · High

6.6/10

West Virginia

15.161/100k · High

6.5/10

Florida

15.991/100k · High

6/10

Oregon

14.046/100k · Moderate

5.9/10

Georgia

15.932/100k · Moderate

5.7/10

Texas

14.654/100k · Moderate

5.6/10

Delaware

14.168/100k · Moderate

5.5/10

Missouri

16.523/100k · Moderate

5.5/10

South Dakota

15.594/100k · Moderate

5.5/10

North Carolina

15.269/100k · Moderate

5.3/10

Nevada

12.691/100k · Moderate

4.9/10

Kansas

13.84/100k · Moderate

4.7/10

Idaho

13.136/100k · Moderate

4.5/10

Colorado

12.407/100k · Moderate

4.4/10

California

11.285/100k · Moderate

4.3/10

Indiana

13.712/100k · Moderate

4/10

North Dakota

13.03/100k · Low

3.6/10

Illinois

10.161/100k · Low

3.4/10

Michigan

11.15/100k · Low

3.4/10

Alaska

9.675/100k · Low

3.3/10

Nebraska

11.708/100k · Low

3.3/10

Ohio

10.96/100k · Low

3.3/10

Virginia

11.105/100k · Low

3.2/10

Washington

9.538/100k · Low

3.2/10

Iowa

11.151/100k · Low

3.1/10

Maine

11.288/100k · Low

3.1/10

Pennsylvania

9.295/100k · Low

3/10

Vermont

11.279/100k · Low

3/10

Connecticut

9.022/100k · Low

2.5/10

Maryland

9.45/100k · Low

2.4/10

Wisconsin

10.237/100k · Low

2.3/10

New Hampshire

9.335/100k · Low

2.2/10

Utah

9.183/100k · Very Low

1.9/10

District of Columbia

5.795/100k · Very Low

1.6/10

Hawaii

7.012/100k · Very Low

1.5/10

New Jersey

7.139/100k · Very Low

1.1/10

New York

5.846/100k · Very Low

1.1/10

Minnesota

7.769/100k · Very Low

1/10

Rhode Island

5.659/100k · Very Low

0.6/10

Massachusetts

5.673/100k · Very Low

0/10

County-level road fatality data

Gera also publishes county-level road fatality data for the 350 highest-impact US counties (by annual fatality count, NHTSA FARS 2021-2023). County GUSRFI is based on fatalities per 100k population.

Browse top counties →

Get personalised road-risk insurance tools

GeraSure is building state and county-level auto-insurance comparison tools informed by GUSRFI risk signals. Join the waitlist to be first to compare coverage options matched to your state’s fatality risk context.

US road fatality rates by state: frequently asked questions

Which state has the highest road fatality rate in the US?
Mississippi has the highest Gera US Road Fatality Index (GUSRFI 9.9/10) with 24.943 road fatalities per 100,000 population (3-year average 2021-2023, NHTSA FARS). This is 2.0× the US average of 12.695/100k.
How many road fatalities occur in the US each year?
Based on NHTSA FARS data, the US recorded 43,230 road fatalities in 2021, 42,721 in 2022, and 41,025 in 2023 — a 3-year average of 42,325 per year. The national rate of 12.695 per 100k population includes all crash types (pedestrian, cyclist, occupant) on public roads.
What is the Gera US Road Fatality Index (GUSRFI)?
GUSRFI is a 0–10 index Gera computes from three US federal open datasets: NHTSA FARS (annual fatality counts by state), Census Bureau Population Estimates (3-year average population), and FHWA VM-2 (annual vehicle-miles traveled by state). It combines a 3-year fatality rate per 100,000 population (60% weight) and a fatality rate per 100 million VMT (40% weight), min-max normalised across all 51 states + DC. Higher scores indicate historically higher road fatality risk context.
Which state has the lowest road fatality rate?
Massachusetts has the lowest GUSRFI (0/10) with 5.673 road fatalities per 100k (2021-2023 NHTSA FARS). Other low-GUSRFI states include New York, Minnesota, Rhode Island.
What data does the GUSRFI use and where can I verify it?
GUSRFI uses three US Government public-domain datasets: (1) NHTSA FARS annual national ZIP files at static.nhtsa.gov/nhtsa/downloads/FARS/ (no key required); (2) Census PEP NST-EST2023 at www2.census.gov/programs-surveys/popest/; (3) FHWA VM-2 at fhwa.dot.gov/policyinformation/statistics/2023/xls/vm2.xlsx. All inputs and the full reproducible formula are published at https://gerasure.com/methodology/us-road-fatality-index.

Contains public sector information published by NHTSA / US Census Bureau / FHWA and licensed under the US Government public domain. Source: NHTSA Fatality Analysis Reporting System (FARS) — annual national CSV ZIPs 2021-2023 (FARS 2021-2023 / Census PEP 2023 / FHWA VM-2 2023, published 2024-2025).

Full GUSRFI formula and verification: Gera US Road Fatality Index methodology.